Macarthur vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 25, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Macarthur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macarthur vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Macarthur (1,784) and Adelaide United (1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macarthur vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 8L. Vickery
- 23K. Grozos
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Adelaide United
4-3-3- 87Anselmo
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 99A. Riak
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 14J. Barnett
- 3B. Vriends
- 4P. Kikianis
- 62F. Talladira
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macarthur have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Adelaide United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 1-2 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Macarthur wins, 1 draw, 2 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United 3-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Adelaide United 1-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Macarthur 2-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Adelaide United 4-5 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide United vs Macarthur on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macarthur sit 7th in A-League (34 points from 26 matches) and Adelaide United sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Macarthur vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macarthur vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Macarthur.
- Where and when is Macarthur vs Adelaide United played?
- Macarthur vs Adelaide United is played on January 25, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.