Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab AI model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wellington Phoenix. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brisbane Roar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Brisbane Roar (1,687) and Wellington Phoenix (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2- 99C. Piper
- 9R. Durán
- 25K. Nagasawa
- 8M. Anderson
- 7B. Duke
- 14A. Rufer
- 28B. Tuiloma
- 18L. Kelly-Heald
- 27M. Sheridan
- 23J. McGarry
- 13H. Gray
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Wellington Phoenix have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 2-0 | A-League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brisbane Roar win, 1 draw, 4 Wellington Phoenix wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-2 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 0-3 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| May 14, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Brisbane Roar | Australia Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 5th in A-League (3 points from 1 match) and Wellington Phoenix sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Wellington Phoenix.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix is played on January 23, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.