Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?
Newcastle Jets starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle Jets wins, 2 draws, 2 Central Coast Mariners wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 4-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 1st in A-League (48 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners is played on January 23, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.