Match

Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)

Maccabi AshdodBeitar Yavne

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Beitar Yavne (1,628).

Maccabi Ashdod win45 %
Draw25 %
Beitar Yavne win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Beitar Yavne have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef
Beitar Yavne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 29, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Beitar Yavne win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2025Beitar Yavne 3-2 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15
Beitar Yavne1.41.447/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Beitar Yavne sit 8th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Beitar Yavne229310273430
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beitar Yavne.
Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne played?
Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne is played on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi Ashdod and Beitar Yavne

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