Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Beitar Yavne (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Beitar Yavne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Beitar Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Beitar Yavne 3-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Yavne vs Maccabi Ashdod on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Beitar Yavne sit 8th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Beitar Yavne is played on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Azor
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 19, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsDimona
- Sep 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Hadera