Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Malachi Stadium, Kiryat Malakhi
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs FC Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem 1-2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3-0 FC Jerusalem | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th in Liga Alef (35 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs FC Jerusalem is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Malachi Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Herzliya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel SderotvsDimona
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Marmorek
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Feb 9, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TiravsBeitar Yavne
- Feb 9, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsShimshon Tel Aviv