Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Herzliya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel SderotvsDimona
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsFC Jerusalem
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Feb 9, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TiravsBeitar Yavne
- Feb 9, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsShimshon Tel Aviv