Match

Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)

Maccabi AshdodHapoel Marmorek

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).

Maccabi Ashdod win46 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Marmorek win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Nov 1, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 5-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Mar 21, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Nov 29, 2024Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Mar 8, 2024Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Dec 15, 2023Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maccabi Ashdod and Hapoel Marmorek

Ready to know everything about football?