Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 3-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Holon Yermiyahu 4-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Herzliya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel SderotvsDimona
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Marmorek
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsFC Jerusalem
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TiravsBeitar Yavne
- Feb 9, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsShimshon Tel Aviv