Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemMaccabi Kiryat Malachi

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).

Nordia Jerusalem win34 %
Draw26 %
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Azor(home)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 5, 2025Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Apr 25, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef
Jan 7, 2025Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Apr 26, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef
Feb 6, 2024Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-4 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 1, 2023Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-2 Nordia JerusalemState Cup

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1.11.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057272735
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

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