Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-4 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-2 Nordia Jerusalem | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsDimona
- Dec 15, 2026Hapoel HaderavsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 15, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Herzliya
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 15, 2026Maccabi YavnevsTzeirey Tira
- Dec 15, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 15, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Sderot