Match

Notaresco vs Maceratese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, Notaresco

NotarescoMaceratese

The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Notaresco vs Maceratese?

Notaresco starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,636).

44%28%28%
Notaresco winDrawMaceratese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Notaresco vs Maceratese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Notaresco

5-3-2
  1. 10P. Banegas
  2. 17A. Mancini
  1. 9Mateus Ribeiro
  2. 7L. Marchionni
  3. 4L. Bianciardi
  1. 6I. Speranza
  2. 33M. Gallo
  3. 24R. Di Stefano
  4. 5G. Colombatti
  5. 13J. Di Saverio
  1. 1K. Shiba

Maceratese

4-3-3
  1. 9Matteo Colombi
  2. 16Federico Palmieri
  3. 15D. Allegretti
  1. 8Alberto Quadri
  2. 7L. De Grazia
  3. 10Gianluca Turchetta
  1. 14Christian Ventola
  2. 5D. Marchetti
  3. 6Filippo Gattari
  4. 4A. Bondioli
  1. 22F. Forte

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notaresco have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Notaresco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Recanatese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Montecchio Gallo(away)1-0Serie D - Girone F
Sep 26, 2026Pietralunga(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Foligno Calcio(away)0-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 16, 2026Santegidiese(home)1-0Serie D - Girone F
Maceratese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)0-2Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Recanatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone F
Sep 27, 2026Santegidiese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Pietralunga(away)2-0Serie D - Girone F
Sep 16, 2026Ancona(home)0-1Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Notaresco win, 0 draws, 1 Maceratese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Maceratese 2-1 NotarescoSerie D - Girone F
Oct 19, 2025Notaresco 2-1 MacerateseSerie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Notaresco on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Notaresco score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Notaresco1.31.2310/158/15
Maceratese1.01.526/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Notaresco sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (11 points from 7 matches) and Maceratese sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Notaresco73228711
14Maceratese72147117

A question about Notaresco vs Maceratese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Notaresco vs Maceratese?
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Maceratese.
Where and when is Notaresco vs Maceratese played?
Notaresco vs Maceratese is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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