Where and when is Notaresco vs Maceratese played?

Notaresco vs Maceratese is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Notaresco vs Maceratese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, Notaresco

Notaresco

Maceratese

The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Notaresco vs Maceratese?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Notaresco (1,740) and Maceratese (1,644).

Notaresco win56 %

Draw25 %

Maceratese win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notaresco have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Notaresco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Teramo(away)	1-3	Serie D - Girone F
May 10, 2026	Ancona(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Ancona(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Victor San Marino(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Termoli Calcio(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F

Maceratese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Chieti(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Real Giulianova(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Unipomezia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Recanatese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Notaresco win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maceratese win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Maceratese 2-1 Notaresco	Serie D - Girone F
Oct 19, 2025	Notaresco 2-1 Maceratese	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Notaresco on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Notaresco score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Notaresco	1.4	1.0	5	9/15	8/15
Maceratese	1.0	1.3	3	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Notaresco sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (51 points from 34 matches) and Maceratese sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Notaresco	34	13	12	9	43	31	51
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43	49	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Notaresco vs Maceratese?: The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Maceratese.
Where and when is Notaresco vs Maceratese played?: Notaresco vs Maceratese is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.