Macva vs Napredak: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac
The Footlab AI model makes Macva the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macva wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macva vs Napredak?
Macva starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,506).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macva vs Napredak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macva
4-2-3-1- 9M. Vidakov
- 27L. Pejović
- 8B. Vraštanović
- 10M. Ergelaš
- 22K. Tojčić
- 30D. Djordjic
- 17N. Lainović
- 15S. Sladojević
- 44N. Stevanović
- 19I. Ristivojević
- 89V. Jovanović
Napredak
4-3-3- 95M. Zuvić
- 77N. Srećković
- 20N. Marinković
- 4F. Krstić
- 27N. Bukumira
- 23A. Milić
- 44L. Miladinović
- 11S. Milošević
- 33V. Bogdanović
- 22A. Andrejević
- 1L. BaleviÄ
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macva have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Napredak have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cukaricki(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Macva win, 0 draws, 5 Napredak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | Napredak 2-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Macva 1-2 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Napredak 2-1 Macva | Super Liga |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Macva 0-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Napredak 2-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Macva 1-0 Napredak | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Macva score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Napredak | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Macva vs Napredak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macva vs Napredak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macva the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Macva vs Napredak played?
- Macva vs Napredak is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Mačva, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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