Madagascar vs Burundi: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 27, 2019 at 02:30 PM (UTC)National Sports Complex Pitch 1, Saint Pierre
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What was the result of Madagascar vs Burundi?
Madagascar won 1-0 on June 27, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 76′M. IlaimaharitraMadagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Burundi have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2019 | Guinea(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Mauritania(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2019 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Luxembourg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Senegal(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2019 | Nigeria(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 17, 2019 | Tunisia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Gabon(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 16, 2018 | South Sudan(away) | 5-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burundi score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Burundi | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy