Match

Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).

Mahasarakham United win40 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Ratchasima FC win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mahasarakham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026Mahasarakham United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FCLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
Mahasarakham United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Nakhon Ratchasima FC

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