Match

Uttaradit vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uttaradit Stadium, Uttaradit

UttaraditNong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uttaradit vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Uttaradit (1,424) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Uttaradit win40 %
Draw27 %
Nong Bua Pitchaya win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uttaradit have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uttaradit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2026Ayutthaya FC(away)0-3FA Cup
Dec 28, 2025BG Pathum United(home)0-4League Cup
Dec 21, 2025Pattaya City(home)1-0FA Cup
Nov 27, 2025Kasetsart FC(home)2-1League Cup
Oct 30, 2025Siwilai(away)2-0FA Cup
Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uttaradit1.61.828/1511/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uttaradit vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Uttaradit vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
Uttaradit vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uttaradit Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Uttaradit and Nong Bua Pitchaya

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