Where and when is Satun vs Muangthong United played?

Satun vs Muangthong United is played on September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Satun vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

Satun

Muangthong United

The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Muangthong United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Muangthong United?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,421).

Satun win40 %

Draw27 %

Muangthong United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 28, 2025	Lamphun Warrior(home)	0-2	League Cup
Sep 1, 2024	Muang Trang United(home)	1-1	League Cup
Mar 13, 2024	Muangthong United(home)	1-3	League Cup
Dec 6, 2023	Nakhon Pathom(home)	2-0	League Cup
Oct 25, 2023	Kanchanaburi(home)	2-1	League Cup

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Satun win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Muangthong United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 13, 2024	Satun 1-3 Muangthong United	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Satun vs Muangthong United on Mar 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Satun	1.7	1.2	2	3/6	3/6
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Muangthong United?: The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Muangthong United.
Where and when is Satun vs Muangthong United played?: Satun vs Muangthong United is played on September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.