Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Phrae United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mahasarakham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Phrae United 0-6 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 0-0 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mahasarakham United 1-4 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Phrae United 1-0 Mahasarakham United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mahasarakham United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mahasarakham United | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 42 | 45 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mahasarakham United.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United played?
- Phrae United vs Mahasarakham United is played on November 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026Police TerovsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 28, 2026KanchanaburivsChiangmai United
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- Nov 29, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 29, 2026Esan PattayavsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Nov 30, 2026SongkhlavsMuangthong United