Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownEbbsfleet United

The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Ebbsfleet United starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,751).

10%17%73%
Hemel Hempstead Town winDrawEbbsfleet United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hemel Hempstead Town

4-3-3
  1. 16I. Noel-Williams
  2. 10Joseph White
  3. 23Trae Cook
  1. 7G. Williams
  2. 12Kyran Wiltshire
  3. 20Mauro Vilhete
  1. 3D. Dowrich
  2. 2Samuel Adenola
  3. 22Devante Stanley
  4. 15Mathew Achuba
  1. 1M. Johnson

Ebbsfleet United

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Cosgrave
  2. 14D. Samuel
  3. 17L. Peake
  1. 22B. Chapman
  2. 4J. Hessenthaler
  3. 20M. Manktelow
  1. 24M. Olagunju
  2. 12Ronny Nelson
  3. 7J. Passley
  4. 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
  1. 13G. Bellagambi

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-5National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-3National League - South
Oct 24, 2026AFC Totton(home)1-3National League - South
Oct 17, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)0-1National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-0National League - South
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Farnborough(away)6-0National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Truro City(away)0-3National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)3-1National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Maidenhead(home)4-0National League - South
Oct 20, 2026Horsham(home)2-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hemel Hempstead Town wins, 5 draws, 1 Ebbsfleet United win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2026Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Feb 3, 2026Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Sep 2, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Mar 4, 2023Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Oct 29, 2022Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Jan 8, 2022Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Sep 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town0.91.638/156/15
Ebbsfleet United2.50.968/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th in National League - South (15 points from 15 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 1st (31 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ebbsfleet United14941351031
20Hemel Hempstead Town15366142215

A question about Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Ebbsfleet United

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