Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead Town

Ebbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Hemel Hempstead Town win38 %

Draw27 %

Ebbsfleet United win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 3, 2026	Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Sep 2, 2025	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Mar 4, 2023	Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Oct 29, 2022	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Jan 8, 2022	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Aug 28, 2021	Ebbsfleet United 3-1 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United?: The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.