Maidstone Utd vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Maidstone Utd (1,930) and Chelmsford City (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chelmsford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Chelmsford City 0-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 1-5 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 20, 2023 | Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Maidstone Utd on Feb 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Chelmsford City played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Chelmsford City is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 26, 2027DovervsHampton & Richmond
- Jan 26, 2027BraintreevsHemel Hempstead Town
- Jan 26, 2027MaidenheadvsFarnham Town
- Jan 26, 2027Billericay TownvsEbbsfleet United
- Jan 26, 2027Truro CityvsHorsham
- Jan 26, 2027Chesham UnitedvsTorquay
- Jan 26, 2027AFC TottonvsSalisbury
- Jan 26, 2027Dorking WanderersvsFolkestone Invicta