Chesham United vs Torquay: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Torquay?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Torquay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Torquay have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 4-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chesham United wins, 0 draws, 4 Torquay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Torquay 2-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chesham United 1-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Torquay 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Chesham United 2-3 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Chesham United 0-1 Torquay | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Chesham United 0-2 Torquay | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chesham United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Torquay | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 19th in National League - South (10 points from 11 matches) and Torquay sit 12th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Chesham United vs Torquay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Torquay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Torquay played?
- Chesham United vs Torquay is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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