Match

Chesham United vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedTorquay

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Torquay?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Torquay (1,876).

Chesham United win41 %
Draw25 %
Torquay win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Torquay win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Torquay 2-1 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Oct 18, 2025Chesham United 1-0 TorquayNational League - South
Apr 5, 2025Torquay 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Aug 26, 2024Chesham United 2-3 TorquayNational League - South
Dec 19, 2020Chesham United 0-1 TorquayFA Trophy
Dec 15, 2015Chesham United 0-2 TorquayFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chesham United on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Torquay4121345
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Torquay?
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Torquay.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Torquay played?
Chesham United vs Torquay is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Torquay

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