Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Billericay Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2022 | Billericay Town 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Billericay Town | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Billericay Town 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United on May 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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