Match

Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex

Billericay TownEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,817).

Billericay Town win61 %
Draw22 %
Ebbsfleet United win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Billericay Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnham Town(away)4-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026AFC Totton(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dover(home)2-0National League - South
May 4, 2026Brentwood Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 29, 2026Chatham Town(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Billericay Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2022Billericay Town 1-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Dec 28, 2021Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Billericay TownNational League - South
Oct 31, 2020Billericay Town 1-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United on May 2, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Billericay Town2.51.168/1510/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Billericay Town3201636

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Billericay Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Billericay Town and Ebbsfleet United

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