Match

Truro City vs Horsham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro CityHorsham

The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Horsham?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and Horsham (1,821).

Truro City win38 %
Draw26 %
Horsham win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Truro City1.00.674/153/15
Horsham1.21.255/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
4Truro City3210407

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Horsham?
The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Horsham.
Where and when is Truro City vs Horsham played?
Truro City vs Horsham is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Truro City and Horsham

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