Match

Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex

BraintreeHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,641).

Braintree win27 %
Draw25 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 1, 2024Braintree 2-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Oct 24, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 BraintreeNational League - South
Mar 14, 2023Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Aug 16, 2022Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 30, 2022Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 21, 2021Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 BraintreeNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Apr 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree.
Where and when is Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Braintree and Hemel Hempstead Town

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