Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | Braintree 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 Braintree | National League - South |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Braintree | National League - South |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Braintree | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Apr 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Braintree vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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