Marquense vs Suchitepéquez: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
The Footlab model makes Marquense the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Suchitepéquez. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marquense vs Suchitepéquez?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Marquense (1,605) and Suchitepéquez (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marquense have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Suchitepéquez have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marquense win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Suchitepéquez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suchitepéquez 1-2 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| May 19, 2024 | Suchitepéquez 3-2 Marquense | Primera Division |
| May 13, 2024 | Marquense 1-0 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Marquense 3-0 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Suchitepéquez 2-0 Marquense | Primera Division |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Marquense 2-1 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Suchitepéquez vs Marquense on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marquense score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Suchitepéquez score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Suchitepéquez | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marquense vs Suchitepéquez?
- The Footlab model makes Marquense the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Suchitepéquez.
- Where and when is Marquense vs Suchitepéquez played?
- Marquense vs Suchitepéquez is played on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.