Marquense vs Suchitepéquez: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Suchitepéquez. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marquense vs Suchitepéquez?
On Elo ratings, Marquense has 1,632 points and Suchitepéquez 1,542.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marquense vs Suchitepéquez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marquense
4-3-3- 18E. Sanchez
- 9David Grande
- 10L. García
- 70Y. Hernandez
- 17D. Chuc
- 11D. Ocaheta
- 79Ó. Linton
- 2R. Corado
- 66C. Santos
- 5E. Vasquez
- 1G. Gutiérrez
Suchitepéquez
4-3-3- 10F. González
- 7A. Lezcano
- 11Nery Cabrera
- 17M. Rivas
- 18A. Zamorano
- 99F. Montaño
- 21M. Icute
- 14W. Diaz
- 28J. Corena
- 4V. Torres
- 22Jussef Delgado
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marquense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Suchitepéquez have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marquense wins, 0 draws, 2 Suchitepéquez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suchitepéquez 1-2 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| May 19, 2024 | Suchitepéquez 3-2 Marquense | Primera Division |
| May 13, 2024 | Marquense 1-0 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Marquense 3-0 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Suchitepéquez 2-0 Marquense | Primera Division |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Marquense 2-1 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Suchitepéquez vs Marquense on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marquense score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Suchitepéquez score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Suchitepéquez | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
A question about Marquense vs Suchitepéquez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marquense vs Suchitepéquez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Suchitepéquez.
- Where and when is Marquense vs Suchitepéquez played?
- Marquense vs Suchitepéquez is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:10 AM (UTC) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.