Malawi vs Burundi: result 2-3 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Burundi?
Burundi won 2-3 on September 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 22′Chimwemwe IdanaBurundi (o.g.)
- 31′Chawanangwa KaongaMalawi
- 33′J. GirumugishaBurundi
- 75′Lanjesi NkhomaMalawi
- 87′M. EldhinoBurundi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Burundi have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2024 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Zambia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Kenya(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Tunisia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2024 | Seychelles(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Kenya(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Botswana(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Madagascar(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Algeria(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burundi score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Burundi | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malawi sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 6 matches) and Burundi sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy