Malawi vs Liberia: result 2-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
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What was the result of Malawi vs Liberia?
Malawi and Liberia drew 2-2 on September 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′A. KosiahLiberia
- 62′A. KosiahLiberia
- 72′G. MhangoMalawi
- 80′J. YeanayeMalawi (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Liberia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Namibia(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Botswana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Angola(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Namibia(away) | 0-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Lesotho(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Tunisia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Senegal(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Malawi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Liberia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Liberia 0-1 Malawi | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liberia score 0.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Liberia | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malawi sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (13 points from 10 matches) and Liberia sit 3rd (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liberia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Malawi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy