Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,864) and Cray Wanderers (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maldon & Tiptree win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | Maldon & Tiptree 3-0 Cray Wanderers | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers on Oct 26, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsDartford
- Aug 29, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsLeatherhead
- Aug 29, 2026St Albans CityvsStanway Rovers
- Aug 29, 2026AveleyvsLewes
- Aug 29, 2026WhyteleafevsCheshunt
- Aug 29, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsBrentwood Town
- Aug 29, 2026Enfield TownvsWhitehawk
- Aug 29, 2026Dulwich HamletvsThree Bridges