Mali vs Chad: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
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What was the result of Mali vs Chad?
Mali won 3-1 on November 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′K. DoumbiaMali
- 53′M. MouandilmadjiChad
- 77′Y. NiakatéMali
- 81′I. SissokoMali
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chad have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Uganda(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2023 | South Sudan(home) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Congo(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Gambia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Sudan(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Gambia(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Gambia(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Mali(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Namibia(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mali win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | Mali 3-0 Chad | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Chad 0-2 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chad score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Chad | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Africa (18 points from 10 matches) and Chad sit 6th (1 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Chad | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy