Mali vs Tunisia: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsRound of 16Kick-off on January 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
Full time
What was the result of Mali vs Tunisia?
Mali and Tunisia drew 1-1 on January 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 88′F. ChaouatTunisia
- 90′L. SinayokoMali (pen.)
Official lineup for Mali vs Tunisia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mali
- 17L. Sinayoko
- 8M. Doumbia
- 10Y. Bissouma
- 11L. Coulibaly
- 20M. Sangaré
- 23A. Dieng
- 3A. Danté
- 5A. Diaby
- 25O. Camara
- 26W. Coulibaly
- 16D. Diarra
Tunisia
- 9H. Mastouri
- 10H. Mejbri
- 11Ismaël Gharbi
- 13F. Sassi
- 15H. Mahmoud
- 17E. Skhiri
- 2A. Abdi
- 3M. Talbi
- 6D. Bronn
- 20Y. Valery
- 16A. Dahmen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tunisia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Comoros(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Zambia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Madagascar(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Nigeria(away) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Uganda(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Qatar(away) | 3-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Palestine(away) | 2-2 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mali win, 3 draws, 2 Tunisia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Tunisia 1-1 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Tunisia 0-0 Mali | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mali 0-1 Tunisia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 12, 2022 | Tunisia 0-1 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 15, 2021 | Tunisia 1-0 Mali | Friendlies |
| Jun 28, 2019 | Tunisia 1-1 Mali | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tunisia score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Tunisia | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations (3 points from 3 matches) and Tunisia sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MaliGroup A | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | TunisiaGroup C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Mali vs Tunisia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy