Mali vs Zambia: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on December 22, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
Full time
What was the result of Mali vs Zambia?
Mali and Zambia drew 1-1 on December 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 61′L. SinayokoMali
- 90′P. DakaZambia
Official lineup for Mali vs Zambia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mali
- 9E. Touré
- 7N. Dorgeles
- 17L. Sinayoko
- 19K. Doumbia
- 20M. Sangaré
- 23A. Dieng
- 3A. Danté
- 5A. Diaby
- 15M. Fofana
- 26W. Coulibaly
- 16D. Diarra
Zambia
4-2-3-1- 20P. Daka
- 10F. Sakala
- 17K. Kangwa
- 9L. Banda
- 5M. Chaiwa
- 25Owen Tembo
- 8L. Musonda
- 21Dominic Chanda
- 6B. Sakala
- 2M. Banda
- 1Willard Mwanza
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Zambia have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Madagascar(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Chad(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Ghana(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Angola(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Niger(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mali win, 1 draw, 0 Zambia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2022 | Mali 1-0 Zambia | Friendlies |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Zambia 0-0 Mali | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.4 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.4 | 0.3 | 11 | 1/15 | 4/15 |
| Zambia | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations (3 points from 3 matches) and Zambia sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
A question about Mali vs Zambia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy