Malut United vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Malut United. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malut United vs Pusamania Borneo?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malut United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 1-7 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persita(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 5-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Malut United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pusamania Borneo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo 7-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Malut United 3-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Malut United 3-0 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-0 Malut United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pusamania Borneo vs Malut United on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malut United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malut United sit 6th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd (79 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malut United vs Pusamania Borneo?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Malut United.
- Where and when is Malut United vs Pusamania Borneo played?
- Malut United vs Pusamania Borneo is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.