Where and when is Bath City vs Malvern Town played?

Bath City vs Malvern Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bath City vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset

Bath City

Malvern Town

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bath City vs Malvern Town?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Bath City (1,690) and Malvern Town (1,789).

Bath City win36 %

Draw25 %

Malvern Town win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bath City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Basingstoke Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Hanworth Villa(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Plymouth Parkway(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Sholing(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Malvern Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wimborne Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Bracknell Town(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Taunton Town(away)	2-5	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Hanwell Town(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bath City	1.2	1.9	2	8/15	10/15
Malvern Town	1.9	1.8	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bath City	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
22	Malvern Town	4	0	2	2	4	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Malvern Town?: The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bath City.
Where and when is Bath City vs Malvern Town played?: Bath City vs Malvern Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.