Platges Calvià vs Binissalem: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Binissalem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Platges Calvià wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Binissalem?
On Elo ratings, Platges Calvià has 1,828 points and Binissalem 1,752.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platges Calvià vs Binissalem
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platges Calvià have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Binissalem have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Platges Calvià wins, 2 draws, 2 Binissalem wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binissalem 0-3 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Platges Calvià 0-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Binissalem 1-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Platges Calvià 1-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Binissalem 0-2 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 12, 2024 | Platges Calvià 1-2 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Binissalem vs Platges Calvià on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platges Calvià score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platges Calvià | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platges Calvià sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (15 points from 7 matches) and Binissalem sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Platges Calvià | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Platges Calvià vs Binissalem?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platges Calvià vs Binissalem?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Binissalem.
- Where and when is Platges Calvià vs Binissalem played?
- Platges Calvià vs Binissalem is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.