Mancha Real vs Almería II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,262 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Almería II?
On Elo ratings, Mancha Real has 1,629 points and Almería II 1,764.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Almería II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Almería II
4-3-3- 7Luis Lara
- 35Lorenzo Sánchez
- MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
- 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
- 21Antonio Jesús
- HHugo Martin
- RRené Pérez
- 26Paco Sanz
- 29Nacho Vila
- EEdu Pla
- 31Bruno Iribarne
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Almería II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Motril(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Mancha Real wins, 4 draws, 1 Almería II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Mancha Real 2-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Almería II 0-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Mancha Real 2-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Almería II 0-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Almería II 4-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Mancha Real vs Almería II on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Almería II | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 10 matches) and Almería II sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Almería II | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Almería II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Almería II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Almería II.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Almería II played?
- Mancha Real vs Almería II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.