Huétor Vega vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega
The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huétor Vega vs Málaga II?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Huétor Vega (1,756) and Málaga II (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Antoniano(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Huétor Vega win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Málaga II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Málaga II 2-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Huétor Vega 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Málaga II 1-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Huétor Vega 0-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Huétor Vega 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Málaga II 1-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Huétor Vega on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Málaga II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Málaga II.
- Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Málaga II played?
- Huétor Vega vs Málaga II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.