Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Atletico de Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella?
Melilla starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melilla
4-3-3- 10Víctor Morillo
- 21Carlos Bravo
- BB. Kavtaradze
- AAdrián Tovar
- 19Armando
- 19Iván Ramos
- 4Manuel Galán
- 3Fran Varela
- 3Lolo González
- DDiego Ceballos
- EEdua Loscos
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico de Marbella have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melilla | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 7 matches) and Atletico de Marbella sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Atletico de Marbella.
- Where and when is Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella played?
- Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.