Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega?
On Elo ratings, Mancha Real has 1,628 points and Churriana Vega 1,730.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Churriana Vega
Not enough data to predict the Churriana Vega lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win, 0 draws, 1 Churriana Vega win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Churriana Vega 1-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Mancha Real 2-1 Churriana Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Churriana Vega vs Mancha Real on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Churriana Vega | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 10 matches) and Churriana Vega sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Churriana Vega | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Churriana Vega.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega played?
- Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAlmería II
- Apr 18, 2027Huétor VegavsGranada II
- Apr 18, 2027AlhaurinovsAtlético Porcuna
- Apr 18, 2027Torre del MarvsMálaga II
- Apr 18, 2027UD San PedrovsAtletico de Marbella
- Apr 18, 2027Arenas ArmillavsMotril
- Apr 18, 2027MarbellivsMelilla
- Apr 18, 2027Malaga CityvsCantoria