Where and when is Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega played?

Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha Real

Churriana Vega

The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,694) and Churriana Vega (1,744).

Mancha Real win43 %

Draw31 %

Churriana Vega win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Granada II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Churriana Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Motril(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Motril(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	El Palo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	UD San Pedro(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Churriana Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Churriana Vega 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 12, 2025	Mancha Real 2-1 Churriana Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Churriana Vega vs Mancha Real on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mancha Real	1.0	1.0	6	6/15	6/15
Churriana Vega	0.9	1.3	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mancha Real sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (37 points from 34 matches) and Churriana Vega sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Churriana Vega	34	14	10	10	32	40	52
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	30	38	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega?: The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Churriana Vega.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega played?: Mancha Real vs Churriana Vega is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.