Arenas Armilla vs Motril: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla
The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arenas Armilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,175 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Motril?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,801) and Motril (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenas Armilla vs Motril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenas Armilla
Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Motril have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arenas Armilla win, 2 draws, 3 Motril wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Motril 1-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 31, 2026 | Arenas Armilla 1-0 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Motril 1-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 0-2 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 0-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Motril 2-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Motril vs Arenas Armilla on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Armilla score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Armilla | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Motril | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Armilla sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (22 points from 10 matches) and Motril sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Motril | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Arenas Armilla vs Motril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Motril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Motril.
- Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Motril played?
- Arenas Armilla vs Motril is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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