Motril vs Mancha Real: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motril vs Mancha Real?
Motril starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motril vs Mancha Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mancha Real have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motril wins, 1 draw, 3 Mancha Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Motril 3-1 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Mancha Real 0-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Motril 2-2 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Mancha Real 2-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mancha Real 4-2 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Motril 0-2 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Mancha Real | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motril sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 7 matches) and Mancha Real sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Motril vs Mancha Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motril vs Mancha Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Mancha Real.
- Where and when is Motril vs Mancha Real played?
- Motril vs Mancha Real is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027MelillavsArenas Armilla
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético PorcunavsUD San Pedro
- Apr 25, 2027Granada IIvsTorre del Mar
- Apr 25, 2027Almería IIvsHuétor Vega
- Apr 25, 2027Málaga IIvsMalaga City
- Apr 25, 2027MarbellivsAtletico de Marbella
- Apr 25, 2027Churriana VegavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Apr 25, 2027CantoriavsAlhaurino