Match

Marbelli vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

MarbelliMelilla

The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Melilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbelli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbelli vs Melilla?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,801) and Melilla (1,863).

42%30%28%
Marbelli winDrawMelilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Melilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marbelli

Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Melilla have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026UD San Pedro(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 10, 2026Alhaurino(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Malaga City(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Torre del Mar(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Huétor Vega(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

How many goals should we expect?

Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbelli1.00.956/154/15
Melilla1.61.147/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marbelli sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (13 points from 7 matches) and Melilla sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla760113518
5Marbelli74128713

A question about Marbelli vs Melilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Melilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Melilla.
Where and when is Marbelli vs Melilla played?
Marbelli vs Melilla is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marbelli and Melilla

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