Torre del Mar vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Málaga II?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Málaga II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Antoniano(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torre del Mar win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Málaga II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Málaga II 2-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Torre del Mar 0-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Málaga II 0-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Málaga II 0-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Torre del Mar on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Málaga II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Málaga II.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Málaga II played?
- Torre del Mar vs Málaga II is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAlmería II
- Apr 18, 2027Huétor VegavsGranada II
- Apr 18, 2027Mancha RealvsChurriana Vega
- Apr 18, 2027AlhaurinovsAtlético Porcuna
- Apr 18, 2027UD San PedrovsAtletico de Marbella
- Apr 18, 2027Arenas ArmillavsMotril
- Apr 18, 2027MarbellivsMelilla
- Apr 18, 2027Malaga CityvsCantoria