Match

Torre del Mar vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar

Torre del MarMálaga II

The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torre del Mar vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Málaga II (1,779).

Torre del Mar win49 %
Draw28 %
Málaga II win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torre del Mar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026Torreperogil(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Motril(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Melilla(home)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Puente Genil(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Antoniano(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Ucam Murcia(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Real Jaén(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torre del Mar win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Málaga II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025Málaga II 2-0 Torre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 6, 2024Torre del Mar 0-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 5, 2024Torre del Mar 0-2 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 23, 2023Málaga II 0-1 Torre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 1, 2023Torre del Mar 0-0 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2022Málaga II 0-0 Torre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Torre del Mar on Feb 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torre del Mar0.70.866/154/15
Málaga II1.32.3013/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torre del Mar3414137372655

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Málaga II?
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Málaga II played?
Torre del Mar vs Málaga II is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torre del Mar and Málaga II

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