Manila Digger vs Kasuka: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kasuka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manila Digger wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manila Digger vs Kasuka?
Manila Digger starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,468).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manila Digger vs Kasuka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manila Digger
4-3-3- 11B. Touray
- 5D. Tafem
- 10S. Ceesay
- 4A. Badjie
- 17D. De Bruycker
- 24D. Vasquez
- 20M. Joof
- 22Z. Taningco
- 23D. Sambou
- 30C. Dabao
- 16O. Njie
Kasuka
4-3-3- 20A. Said
- 17A. Norsamri
- 78Pedro
- 3A. Mu'iz
- 19A. Jufri
- 22Jesus Salazar
- 2M. A. Aminuddin
- 6W. Aminuddin
- 21Mohammad Khairil Shahme bin Suhaimi
- 8Willian
- 1J. Landreth
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manila Digger have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kasuka have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaya(away) | 1-0 | PFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 2-0 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Azkals(home) | 2-0 | PFL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stallion(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kasuka(away) | 4-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Karketu Dili(home) | 2-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manila Digger(home) | 1-4 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Manila Digger(away) | 1-5 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 0-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 0-6 | AFC Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Manila Digger wins, 0 draws, 0 Kasuka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kasuka 1-4 Manila Digger | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Manila Digger 5-1 Kasuka | ASEAN Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Kasuka vs Manila Digger on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manila Digger score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kasuka score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manila Digger | 2.3 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kasuka | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 6/8 | 7/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Manila Digger vs Kasuka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manila Digger vs Kasuka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kasuka.
- Where and when is Manila Digger vs Kasuka played?
- Manila Digger vs Kasuka is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.