Manila Digger vs Shan United: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Shan United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manila Digger wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manila Digger vs Shan United?
Manila Digger starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manila Digger vs Shan United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manila Digger
4-3-3- 11B. Touray
- 5D. Tafem
- 10S. Ceesay
- 4A. Badjie
- 17D. De Bruycker
- 24D. Vasquez
- 20M. Joof
- 22Z. Taningco
- 23D. Sambou
- 30C. Dabao
- 16O. Njie
Shan United
4-3-3- 10Ko Sa Aung Pyae
- 19Moe Thet Wai
- 24Manh Thar Zwe
- 33Kyaw Min Oo
- 11Ye Yint Aung
- 27M. Sekyi
- 6Kyaw Nanda
- 3Min Thu Ye
- 44Thet Hein Soe
- 66Tun Thu Rein
- 18Zin Phyo Kyaw
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manila Digger have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Shan United have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kasuka(home) | 5-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaya(away) | 1-0 | PFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 2-0 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Azkals(home) | 2-0 | PFL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stallion(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hang Yuen(home) | 1-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hantharwady United(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ezra(home) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ezra(away) | 2-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Myawady(away) | 4-0 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Manila Digger score 2.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shan United score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manila Digger | 2.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Shan United | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Manila Digger vs Shan United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manila Digger vs Shan United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Shan United.
- Where and when is Manila Digger vs Shan United played?
- Manila Digger vs Shan United is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC), in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.