Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
Shield CupRound of 32Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; AFC Leopards have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Talanta(home) | 4-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Sofapaka(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mara Sugar(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Nairobi City Stars(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mara Sugar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Leopards win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy