MOFA vs Police: result 0-1 and analysis
Shield CupRound of 32Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Raila Odinga Homa Bay Stadium, Homa Bay
Full time
What was the result of MOFA vs Police?
Police won 0-1 on March 8, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MOFA have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Police have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Luanda Villa(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Fortune Sacco(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Assad(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Mathare United(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Bidco United(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Tusker(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Sofapaka(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
MOFA score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.4 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOFA | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Police | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy