Marek vs Vihren: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Vihren?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and Vihren (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vihren have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vihren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Marek 1-0 Vihren | Second League |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Vihren 2-0 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2023 | Vihren 4-3 Marek | Cup |
| May 27, 2023 | Vihren 1-1 Marek | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Marek 1-0 Vihren | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2021 | Marek 2-0 Vihren | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Vihren | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Vihren sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vihren | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Vihren?
- The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Marek.
- Where and when is Marek vs Vihren played?
- Marek vs Vihren is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsSpartak Pleven
- May 1, 2027NesebarvsHebar 1918
- May 1, 2027MontanavsFratria
- May 1, 2027DobrudzhavsLudogorets II
- May 1, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- May 1, 2027Yantra 2019vsCSKA Sofia II
- May 1, 2027Rilski SportistvsBeroe
- May 1, 2027Sportist SvogevsChernomorets 1919 Burgas