Match

Montana vs Fratria: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaFratria

The Footlab AI model makes Fratria the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fratria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,674 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Fratria?

Fratria starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,557).

32%28%40%
Montana winDrawFratria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montana vs Fratria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montana

4-3-3
  1. 25V. Vasilev
  2. 7M. Milushev
  3. 11O. Aliev
  1. 3H. Ivanov
  2. 10S. Kamenov
  3. 8P. Atanasov
  1. 5D. Avramov
  2. 16M. Dichev
  3. 14M. Dadakov
  4. 4Dejan Kuzmanović
  1. 30V. Simeonov

Fratria

4-3-3
  1. 22G. Atanasov
  2. 7D. Aleksandrov
  3. 17B. Kandoussi
  1. 15M. Marinov
  2. 10T. Korablin
  3. 23S. Dyulgerov
  1. 44R. Stefanov
  2. 11V. Boev
  3. 14V. Valkov
  4. 13A. Isuf
  1. 69I. Iliev

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fratria have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-2Cup
Oct 13, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-3Second League
Oct 4, 2026Bdin(away)2-0Cup
Sep 27, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-2Second League
Sep 21, 2026Hebar 1918(home)0-5Second League
Fratria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Botev Vratsa(home)1-2Cup
Oct 9, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-2Second League
Oct 3, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(away)3-0Cup
Sep 27, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Sep 20, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)2-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montana win, 0 draws, 1 Fratria win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2025Montana 0-1 FratriaSecond League
Sep 7, 2024Fratria 1-2 MontanaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Montana vs Fratria on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.41.948/1511/15
Fratria1.50.967/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 16th in Second League (11 points from 12 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (22 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Fratria12642171022
16Montana12327152611

A question about Montana vs Fratria?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Fratria?
The Footlab AI model makes Fratria the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montana.
Where and when is Montana vs Fratria played?
Montana vs Fratria is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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