Where and when is Montana vs Fratria played?

Montana vs Fratria is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Montana vs Fratria: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

Montana

Fratria

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Fratria?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Fratria (1,725).

Montana win36 %

Draw29 %

Fratria win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	1-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Marek(home)	1-0	Second League
Aug 11, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	2-3	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Nesebar(home)	3-1	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	2-2	Second League

Fratria
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Beroe(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Rilski Sportist(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Marek(home)	0-1	Second League
Jul 10, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Montana 0-1 Fratria	Second League
Sep 7, 2024	Fratria 1-2 Montana	Second League

Last archived meeting: Montana vs Fratria on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Montana	1.2	1.3	3	8/15	7/15
Fratria	1.7	0.8	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Fratria	4	3	0	1	5	1	9
8	Montana	5	2	1	2	9	8	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Fratria?: The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Fratria.
Where and when is Montana vs Fratria played?: Montana vs Fratria is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.