Where and when is Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 played?

Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nesebar vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

Nesebar

Hebar 1918

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Hebar 1918?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,564).

Nesebar win60 %

Draw23 %

Hebar 1918 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

Hebar 1918
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)	1-0	Second League
Aug 18, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)	3-2	Second League
Aug 11, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(away)	3-4	Second League
Aug 2, 2026	Vihren(home)	2-3	Second League
Jul 24, 2026	Beroe(away)	1-2	Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15
Hebar 1918	1.4	1.8	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 4th in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
13	Hebar 1918	5	2	0	3	10	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Hebar 1918?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Hebar 1918.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 played?: Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.