Match

Nesebar vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarHebar 1918

The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nesebar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Hebar 1918?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Nesebar (1,661) and Hebar 1918 (1,592).

42%27%31%
Nesebar winDrawHebar 1918 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs Hebar 1918

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Hebar 1918

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Roemer
  2. 7K. Pavlov
  3. 98I. Mihaylov
  1. 33I. Tilev
  2. 96D. Sadetinov
  3. 84S. Tisovski
  1. 4S. Tsonkov
  2. 55M. Mihaylov
  3. 6M. Georgiev
  4. 17C. Cabo
  1. 1B. Gruev

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
Hebar 1918
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)3-1Second League
Oct 4, 2026Yambol 1915(away)5-0Cup
Sep 27, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Second League
Sep 21, 2026Montana(away)5-0Second League
Sep 14, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)4-1Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15
Hebar 19182.21.5311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 7th in Second League (18 points from 12 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 10th (17 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
10Hebar 191812525272017

A question about Nesebar vs Hebar 1918?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Hebar 1918?
The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hebar 1918.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 played?
Nesebar vs Hebar 1918 is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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