Mariehamn vs Ilves: result 1-1 and analysis
VeikkausliigaRelegation Group - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn, Ahvenanmaa (Åland
Full time
What was the result of Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn and Ilves drew 1-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 69′T. HytönenIlves
- 84′T. JakobsenMariehamn
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ilves win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Mariehamn vs Ilves
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mariehamn
4-2-3-1- 7A. Larsson
- 18A. Stroud
- 14Arvid Bergvik
- 16A. Huttunen
- 20E. Patut
- 23V. Widlund
- 31Samson Ngulube
- 5T. Koivisto
- 2N. Nurmi
- 27L. Richtnér
- 1K. Lund
Ilves
4-4-2- 9T. Hytönen
- 45E. Tamminen
- 28J. Kilo
- 14A. Popovitch
- 19Goudouss Bamba
- 13K. Wallius
- 3M. Rale
- 24V. Kumpu
- 5S. Väisänen
- 22O. Multala
- 12F. Krkalić
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mariehamn have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Ilves have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | SJK(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Turku PS(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lahti(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | FF Jaro(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 4-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FF Jaro(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | VPS(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mariehamn win, 1 draw, 4 Ilves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mariehamn 2-2 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ilves 2-1 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mariehamn 0-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mariehamn score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilves | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mariehamn sit 6th in Veikkausliiga (18 points from 26 matches) and Ilves sit 2nd (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 18 |
A question about Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy