Estrella vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs San Miguel?
On Elo ratings, Estrella has 1,629 points and San Miguel 1,782.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs San Miguel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; San Miguel have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| San Miguel | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and San Miguel sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Miguel | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs San Miguel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Estrella vs San Miguel played?
- Estrella vs San Miguel is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027MensajerovsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 17, 2027LanzarotevsAnaza
- Jan 17, 2027MarinovsLos Llanos
- Jan 17, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsTenerife C
- Jan 17, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsVillaverde Norte
- Jan 17, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 17, 2027Laguna de DuerovsLas Palmas III
- Jan 17, 2027Playas SotaventovsSan Bartolomé