Marino vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Marino (1,729) and San Miguel (1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs San Miguel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; San Miguel have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marino wins, 0 draws, 2 San Miguel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel 2-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Marino 1-2 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| San Miguel | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (14 points from 9 matches) and San Miguel sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Miguel | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Marino vs San Miguel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Marino vs San Miguel played?
- Marino vs San Miguel is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026San Fernando CDvsSan Bartolomé
- Nov 29, 2026Panadería PulidovsLas Palmas III
- Nov 29, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsVilla Santa Brígida
- Nov 29, 2026EstrellavsLanzarote
- Nov 29, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsAnaza
- Nov 29, 2026Laguna de DuerovsTenerife C
- Nov 29, 2026Los LlanosvsVillaverde Norte
- Nov 29, 2026Playas SotaventovsMensajero