Match

Estrella vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria

EstrellaLanzarote

The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estrella vs Lanzarote?

On Elo ratings, Estrella has 1,620 points and Lanzarote 1,783.

41%29%30%
Estrella winDrawLanzarote win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estrella vs Lanzarote

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estrella

4-3-3
  1. AAdrián Socorro
  2. MMarco
  3. AAlejo
  1. KKevin Suárez
  2. VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
  3. FFede Manzi
  1. JJaime
  2. FFran Ramírez
  3. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  4. AAythami Artiles Oliva
  1. AArturo Caballero

Lanzarote

Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 10 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Los Llanos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026San Bartolomé(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 12, 2026Villaverde Norte(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 3, 2026Las Palmas III(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 27, 2026San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026Villaverde Norte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 13, 2026San Miguel(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Estrella wins, 2 draws, 2 Lanzarote wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2025Estrella 1-1 LanzaroteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 17, 2024Lanzarote 2-0 EstrellaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 23, 2023Estrella 1-1 LanzaroteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 8, 2023Lanzarote 2-0 EstrellaTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Lanzarote on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Estrella score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estrella1.21.439/156/15
Lanzarote0.90.849/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estrella sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and Lanzarote sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Estrella5212797
12Lanzarote5131556

A question about Estrella vs Lanzarote?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Lanzarote?
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Lanzarote.
Where and when is Estrella vs Lanzarote played?
Estrella vs Lanzarote is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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